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Multiple yield curve modelling with CBI processes. (arXiv:1911.02906v2 [q-fin.PR] UPDATED)

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We develop a modelling framework for multiple yield curves driven by continuous-state branching processes with immigration (CBI processes). Exploiting the self-exciting behavior of CBI jump processes, this approach can reproduce the relevant empirical features of spreads between different interbank rates. We provide a complete analytical framework, including a detailed study of discounted exponential moments of CBI processes. The proposed framework yields explicit valuation formulae for all linear interest rate derivatives as well as semi-closed formulae for nonlinear derivatives via Fourier techniques and quantization. We show that a simple specification of the model can be successfully calibrated to market data.


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