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Markov risk mappings and risk-averse optimal stopping under ambiguity. (arXiv:2001.06895v1 [math.OC])

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We aim to analyse a Markovian discrete-time optimal stopping problem for a risk-averse decision maker under model ambiguity. In contrast to the analytic approach based on transition risk mappings, a probabilistic setting is introduced based on novel concepts of regular conditional risk mapping and Markov update rule. To accommodate model ambiguity we introduce appropriate notions of history-consistent updating and of transition consistency for risk mappings on nested probability spaces.


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